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Evidence craft

Reading Statistics as Evidence, Carefully

Launch library · evergreen read

Photo: Ledger Book Drawing by Unknown authorUnknown author (Public domain), via Openverse

A number carries an air of certainty that a sentence of ordinary prose rarely manages on its own, which makes statistics both genuinely persuasive and genuinely risky to use carelessly in a piece of narrative writing built around evidence rather than assertion alone, however well intentioned the writer might be.

Understanding how a figure was actually produced matters considerably more than the figure itself when deciding whether it truly belongs in a piece of writing, since questions about who collected the underlying data, over what period, and using what specific method, all shape whether a number means what it first appears to mean.

Evergreen, evidence first writing generally favours explaining how a kind of measurement works in principle over quoting a single specific figure that could become outdated, contested or simply superseded, since the underlying mechanism behind a number often teaches a reader considerably more than the bare number ever could on its own.

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